EMCC workshop autotööstuse sektorile

23.-24. septembril 2004 toimub Varssavis EMCC (European Monitoring Center on Change) Anticipation Workshop teemal "Liikudes edasi - autotööstuse tulevik regionaalsest vaatenurgast."

Tutvustus
Stsenaariumite kasutamine tulevikuvisioonide formuleerimisel ning tulevikuks ette valmistumine on olnud peamine stageegiline tööriist alates RAND korporatsioonist (sõjaline ajutrust, mis alustas sama metoodika kasutamist 50ndatel mõeldamatuteks võimalikkusteks).

EMCC loob võimalusi ettevõtete, eriti väikese ja keskmise suurusega ettevõtete, tööandjate ja töötajate kohtumisteks seaduseloojatega, et kajastada ja peegeldada muudatusi ettevõtetes, tööstussektorites ja regioonides. Sellised workshopid on osa EMCC ootusti propageerivast lähenemisest ning põhinevad stsenaariumite koostamise mudelitel ja tehnikatel ning ettenägelikkusel.

EMCC finantseerimisel toimuva workshopi eesmärk on uurida autotööstuse sektoris toimuda võivaid muudatusi erinevatest vaatenurkadest nagu tehnoloogia, regionaalsed investeeringud ja tugi, geograafia, tootmine. Samuti vaadatakse läbi võimalikud mõjud tööhõivele, eriti autotööstuse sektori VKEde seas ning uuritakse, millised on regionaalsete kohaliku elu suunajate hoiakud.

Eesmärgid
Workshop peaks julgustama sotsiaalpartnereid, väikeettevõtteid ja kohaliku elu suunajaid ühiselt reageerima muutuste trendidele ettevalmistatud stsenaariumitele tuginedes ja hindama ellujäämise või kasvuvõimalusi.
Erinevad osalejad - ettevõtete esindajad, sektorite analüütikud, regionaalse elu suunajad - autotööstuse sektorist saavad anda oma panuse debatti ja reaalsete sammude tegemisele.
Workshopi lõpuks koostatakse kriitiliste tegevuste nimekiri.

Kes peaks osalema?
Sotsiaalpartnerid, väikeettevõtjad autotööstuse sektorist.

Scenarios
Scenarios provide a distinctive and challenging way of looking at the future. Good scenarios identify key drivers of change affecting the organization, they tell a story, or rather different stories about the future and they provide a framework to anticipate possible future strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. For any organisation keen to survive into the future, anticipating change and correctly managing the process today is essential.

There appears to be a general consensus that developments in the automotive sector will continue on much the same track as they have been following in the recent past. The industry will continue to invest in improving safety and reducing the environmental impact of road vehicles in line with regulations designed to encourage both developments. Information technology, both on-board and more widely, will play an increasing role in achieving these ends. Competition will lead to increasing consolidation within the industry and demand will shift to developing countries as the focus of future increases in capacity.  The car will still be with us for the foreseeable future; it will be continually improved and probably more controlled but will still provide us with the individual means of transport to which we nearly all aspire.

On the other hand there remain a number of forces that could intervene to blow this cosy future off track.

What can you expect?
A stimulating workshop that will introduce the use of scenarios as a tool for anticipating and planning for change.
Original material, as yet unpublished, prepared for the EMCC on the automotive sector – mapping the sector, company case studies, scenarios and three feature articles on the Future of the Automotive Sector
Lively discussions with other companies, with social partners and with policy makers around strategies for dealing with change
Opportunities to explore and contrast issues from across the 25 countries of the EU
Reimbursement of your travel costs and a per diem to cover accommodation

What can we expect?
Commitment to the aims of the workshop and to a proactive approach to change
Experience in the sector and in developing strategic policy related to the automotive sector
Enthusiasm to examine new concepts and new approaches
Willingness to share insights and to be creative

Outline Programme

The programme will involve the key players from the sector, drawing systematically on their experience, knowledge, and insights. Participants will be invited to examine and  discuss the drivers of change in the automotive sector through presentation of regional case studies. Following an explanation of the scenario planning approach participants  will then go on to  examine scenarios already prepared, discussing the key dimensions of change and formulating an action agenda for change.

Thursday, 23 September
11:00 Arrival and registration of participants
11:30 Introduction and Welcome
12:30 Anticipating Change in Europe’s Automotive sector. Keynote speech
13:00 Lunch
14:00 Understanding the trends and driving forces: Presentation of Regional Case Studies. Questions to presenters
16:30 Coffee break
16:45 Working Groups: Identifying trends and drivers from the regional case studies
18:00 Introduction to scenarios: Sketching the techniques and introducing the EMCC Scenarios
18:30 Close of session
20:00 Dinner

Friday, 24 September

08:30 Focusing on the future: Presentation of scenarios for the automotive sector
10:00 Working Groups: Key Dimensions of Change.
Four working groups to examine:
· Work organisation and location
· Employment and human resources
· The regional dimension: investment and support
· SME supply chains and skills

12:15 Defining an Agenda for Change
Conclusions from the working groups directed at 10 point action/strategies to:
· Regional policy makers
· Employers
· Employees
· Large companies
· Small companies

Close of Seminar

14:30 Lunch

Friday afternoon

Workshop visit to automotive company in the region of Warsaw, Poland

Registreerumine kuni 2. augustini 2004. Lisainfo: Kristi-Jette Remi, kristi@ettk.ee, tel. 699 9302.